Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.177967 0.210515 0.246959 0.290734 0.341836 0.399554 0.469639
2025-07-20 0.139691 0.184392 0.239759 0.313148 0.407627 0.524902 0.681242
2025-07-27 0.114435 0.164300 0.231005 0.326259 0.458214 0.633906 0.884820
2025-08-03 0.093363 0.143856 0.215895 0.325336 0.486405 0.713550 1.056682
2025-08-10 0.075262 0.123493 0.196345 0.313236 0.494643 0.763615 1.190210
2025-08-17 0.060778 0.105641 0.177030 0.297400 0.493378 0.797344 1.300925
2025-08-24 0.052962 0.096944 0.170273 0.299502 0.519046 0.873379 1.483353
2025-08-31 0.044714 0.086012 0.158003 0.290331 0.524388 0.916598 1.616590
2025-09-07 0.039952 0.080424 0.153906 0.294247 0.551706 0.998001 1.820795
2025-09-14 0.035547 0.074742 0.148725 0.295270 0.573586 1.071731 2.018646
2025-09-21 0.031167 0.068371 0.141299 0.290942 0.584795 1.127186 2.188889
2025-09-28 0.027689 0.063253 0.135523 0.288873 0.599684 1.190290 2.378735
2025-10-05 0.025809 0.061430 0.136494 0.301246 0.645934 1.320229 2.714977
2025-10-12 0.024853 0.061525 0.141529 0.322857 0.713816 1.499929 3.168760
2025-10-19 0.023258 0.059880 0.142583 0.336106 0.765974 1.654077 3.588268
2025-10-26 0.020803 0.055752 0.137507 0.335119 0.787527 1.748160 3.894968
2025-11-02 0.017934 0.050073 0.128000 0.322667 0.782161 1.785189 4.085687
2025-11-09 0.015252 0.044365 0.117528 0.306376 0.765836 1.796562 4.221851
2025-11-16 0.013917 0.041998 0.114867 0.308539 0.792616 1.905231 4.583242
2025-11-23 0.012178 0.038186 0.107959 0.299104 0.790351 1.947999 4.800065
2025-11-30 0.011249 0.036523 0.106398 0.303132 0.821578 2.071037 5.214250
2025-12-07 0.010294 0.034600 0.103848 0.304185 0.845395 2.178938 5.603467
2025-12-14 0.009236 0.032163 0.099498 0.299733 0.854396 2.251941 5.915888